Possibilities and limits of earthquake prediction using of animals

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by diploma geologist Eva Dust

Chapter overview:

Literature:

Possibilities and limits of earthquake prediction using of animals

by diploma geologist Eva Dust

Time and again you ask yourself:

When can we finally predict earthquakes?

And can we use animals for this?

And at very least since the tsunami in 2004, you wonder, why not include animals in the research?

My book is based on existing research from literature and own my research and reflections

Chapter overview:

Overview of the current state of research on earthquake prediction

On (earthquake) prophets and the seventh sense in man and animals

Abnormal animal behavior before earthquakes

Current ideas and research approaches emerging from state of the art of research.

Recent considerations and possible research approaches

Earthquake warning devices and related topics

literature

Overview of state of the art of earthquake prediction:

Earthquakes are still unpredictable. Earthquake prediction devices are only programmed with a 20 second warning period (this is based on the different speeds of the various seismic waves), during which certain measures can be taken to prevent worse case scenarios. For example, Subways can be shut down and Nuclear power plants deactivated.

Otherwise, only earthquake probabilities can be calculated. Research has been carried out intensively at various levels and with different methods in order to help predict them in the near future:

A deep drilling project is currently being carried out at the seismic active San Andreas Fault in California, where scientists hope to record interesting and insightful data on earthquakes

before the next occurrence. This will be carried out using appropriate measuring devices / probes / sensors

Swiss geophysicists are currently working on the confirmation of their statistical model, which calculates the rock tension from micro earthquakes and the strength, time and location of an earthquake

The construction of a network of infra sound data could still be the answer, however, some scientists have already voiced their doubts about this.

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Nasa has observed higher infrared values on satellite shots hours and days before major earthquakes.

A new satellite (Demeter) has been measuring radio waves since summer 2004 as there has been significant evidence that electromagnetic waves (EM) occur before major earthquakes.

Furthermore, with the existence of the privately developed research institute "Quakesat", which can be found at www.quakefinder.com, and the GFZ-Potsdam maintaining the two satellites CHAMP and GACE thanks to the German climatic center, along with a lot of new data from the remote sensing and infrared, the deep hole data, which is possibly still retrievable, as well as the indirectly calculated data, one can hope that the earthquake prediction will be possible in the foreseeable future, although there have been many scientists who have claimed that this will never be possible.

It is likely that both sides will be right, only earthquakes with corresponding precursor symptoms (and appropriate measuring systems installed) can be predicted. However, there are also earthquakes which display no warning signs. This could be attributed to the rock texture of the deeper subsoil and the quartz content.

If, however, one considers the even idealized engineering-geological calculations for settling behavior and stability of buildings in certain soil conditions, it is clear that such a complex and very large-scale in-depth area, in which the earthquake develops, will always remain unpredictable. The general rules of earthquake prediction cannot be applied here due to the complexity and variety of the parameters that interact.. On the contrary, every earthquake should be considered individual.

(Earthquake) prophets and the seventh sense in man and animal

There have been many legends and myths about earthquakes for thousands of years, which still exist today, and which are clearly justified.

Geophysicists do not believe it is possible to predict an earthquake using animal behavior. However, various investigations and deliberations suggest that by observing enigmatic animal behavior, which is not always reported before every earthquake, that we could come closer to being able to predict earthquakes.

Research on abnormal animal behavior before earthquakes is also incomplete, and there many cases of strange behavior in animals has been proved. This suggests a truly distinctive seventh sense - and for humans as well.

Many parapsychologists have already investigated these phenomena, with Dr. Rupert Sheldrake and David Brown first investigating the seventh sense of animals using scientific methods.

The idea that there are even people who can predict earthquakes ,

is now also deemed feasible. However, these are rare case scenarios, and therefore it cannot be explained more precisely and researched.

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There are unfortunately many cases of self-claimed earthquake prophets,

who are generally, charlatans, busybodies, or mentally ill people whose bad reputation then unfortunately casts doubt on the few genuine people. Nostradamus is also often cited and interpreted in this context.

For the near future and Europe, I read in a book,

that in northern Italy a larger earthquake was predicted around 2015 using Nostradamus interpretation. In fact, there was an earthquake catastrophe there in 2016.

A really very serious and scientific earthquake prophet is the geologist Jim Berkland - he has his own internet,site www.syzygyjob.com, where he makes earthquake predictions about four weeks in advance.

These are supported by planet constellations, tides, and missing animals.

His hit rate is surprisingly high, but he has made enemies out of scientists.

If you read the discussions about Jim Berkland in Cal Oreys current book , you are undecided as to whether Jim Berkland or his opponents are right.

Everyone must look at the daily updated pages on the internet, compare with reality, and think independently.

The fact is that Jim Berkland has already predicted various earthquakes quite correctly, while these geophysicists have not yet managed this! And most recently with the tsunami in 2004:

In August 2004, a geologist warned of a seaquake with tsunami based on purely scientific evidence.

not as a prophet but as a scientist - but also he was not heard !!!!

(also read in the book of Cal Orey).

So, what is understood as reliable science, and what happens as coincidence and charlatanism, is not quite simple ...

Here is a topical research idea of mine:

There are some earthquake sensitive people around the world.

These must be tested to determine if it is a coincidence or whether they can really predict earthquakes. -

For example, by can taking a data table about the frequency distribution of earthquakes depending on magnitude and country, and then examining the predicted quakes and the accuracy of occurrence for sufficient forecasts by the persons concerned for significance.

In the next step, the significant earthquake-sensitive people, I hope they really can be verified as such,

are taken in a group for an investigation using intelligence of the masses. In other words, all current earthquake forecasts are taken and viewed, to the extent that an average or mean value can be formed

and thus, even more precisely, an earthquake location, strength and time can be determined. If this is the case, it is once again the scientists turn

to record and investigate further scientific data, if possible in the 10-day window before the earthquake.

For more about the seventh sense of people in the book of Dr. Sheldrake - see the literature page.

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In this highly interesting and scientific book, the following is included, amongst other things : It is statistically significant and thus scientifically proven that more people avoid disasters such as those involving trains, flights and amongst others. This hints that there are enough people who forewarn such disasters.

Furthermore, it contains a very important sentence about animal behavior before earthquakes. It states that even if animal behaviour the day before an earthquake can be explained using EM waves, there are enough catastrophes which animals have demonstrably warned against or sought safety themselves.

No precursor parameters were before this.)

Abnormal animal behavior before earthquakes

For thousands of years, people in earthquake disaster areas have been reporting that some time before the earthquake, animals have shown strange behavior and may have warned against the earthquake. Tame pets become panicky and wild, while wild animals often come to the villages and lose their timidity. This has always encouraged researchers to consider whether this behavior can be used as an earthquake warning. In 1975 a big city was evacuated in China when the zoo animals were acting erratically. The great earthquake came and many lives were saved.

There is a book by Prof. Tributsch about animal behavior before earthquakes, which is a few decades old, however, he did not do his own research, but only thought intensively and blamed aerosols in the air. There is also a newer book by Prof. Ikeya in which he has made his own experiments with electromagnetic wave EM waves and has been able to trigger abnormal animal behavior in the laboratory, but at higher values than geophysicists have measured them against earthquakes. Based on this research, I have developed my own research approaches.

In good weather, it is possible to already predictseaquakes by remote sensing of fish swarms if one would do so.

According to Ikeya, the electromagnetic waves from earthquakes come from the quartz minerals from the rock. This leads to the first research question: Is there a correlation between the increasing strength of EM waves and the content of quartz in deeper rock layers?

Would this explain the difference in the measurements of Prof. Ikeya, who has found greater strengths of EM waves in the laboratory for abnormal animal behavior during earthquakes than EM waves that have been measured before earthquakes were measured in areas where lower EM- waves occurred?

A third research question, according to Prof. Tributsch's book, is that animals can sense the precursor symptoms of earthquakes throughout large cities and react to them? Prof. Tributsch noted that animals in large cities react to earthquakes, regardless of the many disruptive smells, noises, lights and EM waves.

Research approaches: Can animals react to certain UV lights, ultrasound, certain EM waves? Research animals could be positioned at different distances around a larger city and the influences of the interfering signals measured. Do some animals already react to a combination of interfering signals at a lower strength? Do animals react abnormally to

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abnormal behavior of other animals? Do animals living in earthquake-free areas react as well as in earthquake regions?

The strengths found by Prof. Ikeya in the laboratory for EM waves for abnormal animal behavior before earthquakes are too great compared to the strengths measured before earthquakes. This gives rise to further research approaches, e.g. the UV light found different drawings in the plumage of birds under UV light - light changes (infrared) were also observed before earthquakes. Furthermore, the question as to whether aerosols, as Prof. Tributsch describes them in the air before earthquakes, influence the strength or reaction to EM waves. Ozone is often reported to be caused by earthquakes, which could also reduce the reactivity of animals to EM waves.

There are also earthquakes without warning animal behavior. Here the question is whether or not there have been corresponding precursor symptoms. And, furthermore, during what time of the year it occurred, whether hormones affect the animals, and whether they react or not.

Sorry, here ends the translation help from a native speaker â€“ hope my own translation is enough good for to understand me, I am always unemployed and the translation is to expensive for me, but please, could you help me and this research?

The animals may react only to a certain combination of interfering parameters. Vibrations fall out because the high-sensitivity geophysical meters have not measured vibrations before earthquakes.

Are there masses of animals among animals that they mutually infect? It has also been observed that certain wild animals have lost their fear. Prof. Ikeya has investigated five hormones in dependence to the elongation of a rock in the presence of the animals; only one hormone increase in normal anxiety hormones was observed.

If one wants to use animal behavior before earthquakes one day for evacuation plans,